Stock Analysis Report: Tariff Impact and Market Performance

Overview This report provides a detailed analysis of selected stocks, evaluating their exposure to tariffs, fundamental financial health, and technical trends.

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1. Molina Healthcare Inc. (MOH)

Tariff Exposure: Minimal

• Operates in managed healthcare, with little reliance on global trade.

• Potential indirect impact from rising medical supply costs.

Fundamental Analysis:

• Strong revenue growth and stable balance sheet.

• Positive investor sentiment reflected in stock performance.

Technical Analysis:

• Current Price: $356.26

• Support Level: $323

• Resistance Level: $358

• Momentum: Bullish; near resistance.

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2. Centene Corp. (CNC)

Tariff Exposure: Minimal

• Focuses on healthcare services with limited international dependencies.

Fundamental Analysis:

• Diversified service offerings ensure steady earnings growth.

Technical Analysis:

• Current Price: $63.97

• Support Level: $59

• Resistance Level: $64

• Momentum: Approaching resistance; potential breakout.

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3. Elevance Health Inc. (ELV)

Tariff Exposure: Minimal

• U.S.-based insurance provider with little tariff risk.

Fundamental Analysis:

• Strong financials and growing customer base.

Technical Analysis:

• Current Price: $446.84

• Support Level: $425

• Resistance Level: $449

• Momentum: Testing resistance.

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4. UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH)

Tariff Exposure: Minimal

• Large healthcare entity with strong revenue streams.

Fundamental Analysis:

• Robust financials and consistent earnings growth.

Technical Analysis:

• Current Price: $544.50

• Support Level: $519

• Resistance Level: $546

• Momentum: Near resistance; potential for new highs.

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5. Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE)

Tariff Exposure: Minimal (Potentially Positive)

• Increased market volatility due to tariffs can boost trading volume.

Fundamental Analysis:

• Higher trading activity benefits revenue.

Technical Analysis:

• Current Price: $232.20

• Support Level: $223

• Resistance Level: $234

• Momentum: Approaching resistance.

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6. American Water Works Co. Inc. (AWK)

Tariff Exposure: Minimal

• Regulated utility with stable revenue, but potential infrastructure cost increases.

Fundamental Analysis:

• Stable earnings due to regulatory pricing power.

Technical Analysis:

• Current Price: $152.81

• Support Level: $144

• Resistance Level: $154

• Momentum: Testing resistance.

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7. SBA Communications Corp. (SBAC)

Tariff Exposure: Mild

• Wireless infrastructure dependent on telecom expansion.

Fundamental Analysis:

• Long-term leases ensure stable revenue.

Technical Analysis:

• Current Price: $227.51

• Support Level: $214

• Resistance Level: $234

• Momentum: Strong bullish trend.

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Conclusion

• Minimal Tariff Impact: Healthcare (MOH, CNC, ELV, UNH), Utilities (AWK), and Financial Services (CBOE).

• Mild Exposure: SBA Communications faces potential telecom expansion slowdowns.

• Overall Trend: Most stocks exhibit strong technical momentum, with many approaching key resistance levels.

Investment Consideration: Healthcare stocks remain resilient, while CBOE may benefit from tariff-driven market volatility. Utility and telecom stocks may see mild cost pressures but maintain stable revenue streams.

Micron Technology (MU) Technical Analysis & Trade Recommendation

 Price Action & Trend Analysis

Micron Technology (MU) has been trading within a range of approximately $85 to $110 over the past few months. The stock recently faced resistance near $100 and has pulled back toward the $92 level. The price is hovering around the 50 EMA and 100 EMA, which may serve as dynamic support.

Moving Averages & Indicators

• Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):

  • The 9 EMA and 20 EMA are trending close together, indicating a potential consolidation phase.

  • The 50 EMA and 100 EMA remain relatively flat, suggesting no clear directional trend.

• MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):

  • A recent SELL signal was triggered as the MACD line crossed below the signal line.

  • The MACD histogram has turned negative, confirming a bearish momentum shift.

• RSI (Relative Strength Index):

  • The RSI is approaching the oversold region but remains above 30, indicating that the stock still has room for further downside before becoming oversold.

  • The RSI previously generated a BUY signal in early March when it was near 30, leading to a short-term price rally.

Volume Analysis

• Volume spikes have coincided with key movements in price, particularly around earnings and technical signals.

• A notable increase in selling volume aligns with the recent SELL signal, confirming downside pressure.

Buy Entry Recommendation

• Potential Buy Zone: Around $90 - $92 (current price $92.13).

• Rationale for Entry:

  • If the price finds support around the 50 or 100 EMA and volume stabilizes, a bounce-back trade may be considered.

  • Confirmation would be needed via a MACD crossover or RSI reversal above 50.

• Stop Loss: Below $88, in case of further downside.

• Target Price: First target $98, second target $105 (near previous resistance levels).

Conclusion

Currently, MU is in a weak position with bearish indicators dominating. However, a potential buy opportunity may arise if support holds around the $90-$92 level. Traders should watch for a MACD crossover, RSI reversal, and price stability before entering a long position.

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AMD Technical Analysis & Trade Recommendation

Overview

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has shown significant volatility in recent months, with key price movements influenced by earnings announcements, technical indicators, and broader market sentiment. Below is a comprehensive analysis of AMD’s technical setup based on recent price action, volume, moving averages, and momentum indicators.

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Current Market Position

• Latest Closing Price: $110.19

• Recent Trend: A strong recovery from recent lows, with price now testing resistance levels around the 50 EMA.

• Earnings Impact: A previous earnings report led to a sharp decline in price, but recent buy signals indicate potential upside.

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Buy Entry Analysis

1. Moving Averages & Trend Reversal

• AMD recently crossed above the 9-day EMA ($110.19), signaling early bullish momentum.

• The 20-day EMA ($112.57) and 50-day EMA ($114.89) are still acting as resistance, but a break above them could confirm a strong trend reversal.

2. MACD Crossover (Momentum Shift)

• The MACD histogram is turning positive, indicating increasing bullish momentum.

• A recent MACD bullish crossover has occurred, which historically aligns with price appreciation.

3. RSI (Relative Strength Index)

• RSI is currently trending upwards but remains below overbought levels (~70).

• This indicates that there is still room for further price appreciation before the stock becomes overextended.

4. Volume Confirmation

• Increased volume on recent green (upward) days suggests buying pressure is growing.

• If the stock continues to hold above its VWAP (currently ~$109.50), the uptrend could sustain.

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Buy Entry Recommendation

📌 Suggested Entry Point:

• Buy if AMD sustains above $110.50 with strong volume.

• Ideal Confirmation: A close above $112 (near the 20-day EMA) for stronger conviction.

🎯 Target Price:

• Short-term: $115 (Near the 50 EMA)

• Mid-term: $120 (Resistance Zone & Psychological Level)

🛑 Stop Loss:

• Below $105, as breaking below this level could invalidate the bullish reversal pattern.

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Conclusion

AMD is showing early signs of a trend reversal, supported by key technical indicators such as the MACD crossover, RSI uptrend, and EMA breakouts. A confirmed close above $112-$115 would strengthen the bullish case, making it an attractive buy for traders targeting the $115-$120 range. However, risk management is crucial, and a stop-loss at $105 is recommended to mitigate potential downside risk.

VRT Technical Analysis & Trade Recommendation

 Price Target & Entry Point:

• Current Price: $80.73 (March 26, 2025)

• Potential Buy Zone: $78 - $82 (if support holds)

• Short-Term Target: $90 - $95

• Stop-Loss: Below $78

Technical Analysis & Outlook:
VRT has shown signs of a potential short-term rebound following a period of decline. The most recent buy signal was triggered on March 14 at $87.41, and since then, the MACD has continued trending upward, indicating improving momentum.

The RSI at 48.8 suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, but it may provide a better entry point if it approaches the 40-45 range. If the stock holds above the $78-$80 support zone and MACD remains positive, a near-term bounce toward $90-$95 is likely.

Investment Strategy:

• Aggressive traders can consider entering near $80-$82 with a stop-loss below $78.

• Conservative investors may wait for confirmation of strength above $85 before entering.

A break below $78 would invalidate the bullish setup, while a move above $90 could trigger further upside momentum.

Updated VRT Technical Analysis: Price Drops Below $78

Since VRT has dropped below the key support level of $78 and is now at $77, this changes the risk-reward scenario.

Key Considerations:

1. Break of Support ($78) → Bearish Sign

   • The breakdown signals continued weakness, invalidating the previous buy setup.

   • This could trigger further downside, possibly testing lower support levels.

2. Next Support Levels to Watch:

   • $75 → Psychological level and minor support.

   • $72-$73 → Stronger historical support zone.

   • $70 → Key long-term support; a drop below this could mean a prolonged downtrend.

3. RSI & MACD Confirmation:

   • If RSI enters oversold (<30), a short-term bounce could occur.

   • MACD still in negative territory indicates momentum favors sellers.

Trading Plan Adjustments:

✅ If already in the trade: Consider cutting losses below $78, as the previous support has failed.
✅ New Entry Strategy:

• Aggressive traders: Watch for a bounce from $75-$73 with strong volume.

• Conservative traders: Wait for price action to reclaim $78+ before re-entering.

🔴 Bearish Scenario: If VRT breaks $72, expect further downside towards $70 or lower.